Prediction-market making

Deep, tight liquidity for prediction markets.

Logit Capital quotes continuous two-sided markets on prediction-market venues. We price from our own fair-value models, run under hard risk limits, and measure ourselves against the KPIs each venue already tracks.

ILLUSTRATIVE BOOK · YESquoting
spread 2¢fair 54.0¢
~6,500
Kalshi and Polymarket markets in our model backtests
~90%
of backtest fair values within 4¢ of live prices
10+ yrs
combined high-frequency trading experience
24/7
monitoring with automated alerts
Markets we quote

Four categories, one pricing engine.

We onboard new markets fast in every category we cover.

Crypto

Price thresholds, ranges and event outcomes on major digital assets.

Stocks

Index levels, single-name moves, earnings and corporate events.

Geopolitics

Elections, summits, treaties and policy decisions worldwide.

Economics

Growth, inflation, rates, housing and other macro releases.

What we offer

Liquidity measured against your KPIs.

We set service levels and commercial terms with each venue.

QUOTING

Two-sided quotes

Size at the touch and in depth, with spread and uptime commitments built around the KPIs your venue tracks.

COVERAGE

Fast onboarding

New markets in every category we cover go live quickly, so new books launch with a real order book.

REPORTING

Transparent reporting

A daily KPI report for each book, plus regular performance reviews with your team.

Why Logit

An HFT team built for event markets.

We are four people, alumni of IIT Delhi and IIT Roorkee, with 10+ years of combined experience in high-frequency trading. One of the four works full time on monitoring and operations.

We have made markets on live prediction-market venues, and we know how order books, rewards and KPIs interact. We backtested our fair-value models on more than 3,000 Kalshi and 3,500 Polymarket markets.

  • Position limitsPer-side limits, with an automatic switch to one-sided quoting when a limit is hit.
  • Hard loss limitsDaily and per-book limits, with automatic quote withdrawal when a limit is breached.
  • Bounded capitalOne committed pool of capital, reused across books.
  • Clean conductNo wash trading or self-matching. The venue's self-trade prevention stays on.
How we engage

Start small. Prove it. Scale.

Scope

Agree the books, KPI definitions and data access.

Pilot

A short live pilot on a few books, reviewed against your KPIs.

Scale

A long-term programme covering every market you add in the agreed categories.

Need liquidity on your venue?

Tell us about your markets and the KPIs you track. We'll come back with a pilot proposal.

hello@logitcapital.xyz